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Friday 17 November 2017, 21:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
25% 26% 49%
Home win
24.6%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
49.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 24.6% 4.06
Draw 26.0% 3.85
Borussia Dortmund 49.4% 2.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.82
Over 1.5 76.3% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.7% 4.23
Over 2.5 51.3% 1.95
Under 2.5 48.7% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.2% 3.42
Under 3.5 70.8% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.1% 7.08
Under 4.5 85.9% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.2% 1.85
No 45.8% 2.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 50.6% 1.98
VfB Stuttgart / Borussia Dortmund 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 75.4% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
10.0
8.8
4.8
2.0
0.6
1
6.4
12.4
9.6
5.2
2.1
0.7
2
3.9
6.4
5.2
2.8
1.2
0.4
3
1.4
2.3
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.