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Saturday 21 October 2017, 16:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
24% 27% 49%
Home win
24.0%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
49.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 24.0% 4.17
Draw 26.8% 3.73
Borussia Dortmund 49.2% 2.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 12.06
Over 1.5 73.6% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.4% 3.79
Over 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Over 3.5 26.0% 3.85
Under 3.5 74.0% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.34
Under 4.5 88.0% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.2% 1.95
No 48.8% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 50.8% 1.97
Eintracht Frankfurt / Borussia Dortmund 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 76.0% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
11.1
9.2
4.8
1.9
0.6
1
7.0
12.8
9.4
4.9
1.9
0.6
2
3.9
6.1
4.8
2.5
1.0
0.3
3
1.3
2.1
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.