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Saturday 23 September 2017, 19:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
70% 18% 11%
Home win
70.3%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
11.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 70.3% 1.42
Draw 18.2% 5.50
Borussia Mönchengladbach 11.5% 8.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.75
Over 1.5 83.9% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.1% 6.21
Over 2.5 62.9% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.1% 2.69
Over 3.5 40.7% 2.46
Under 3.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.7% 4.41
Under 4.5 77.3% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.1% 1.88
No 46.9% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 88.5% 1.13
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Mönchengladbach 81.8% 1.22
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 29.7% 3.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
2.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
8.8
8.5
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.0
9.6
4.2
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
8.7
7.6
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
5.2
4.5
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
2.5
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.