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Sunday 29 October 2017, 19:00 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
43% 31% 26%
Home win
43.2%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
26.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 43.2% 2.32
Draw 30.6% 3.27
SC Freiburg 26.2% 3.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 8.00
Over 1.5 63.9% 1.56
Under 1.5 36.1% 2.77
Over 2.5 36.2% 2.76
Under 2.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 3.5 17.0% 5.89
Under 3.5 83.0% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.7% 15.02
Under 4.5 93.3% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.1% 2.32
No 56.9% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 73.8% 1.36
VfB Stuttgart / SC Freiburg 69.4% 1.44
Draw / SC Freiburg 56.8% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
9.8
4.8
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
13.7
13.9
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.0
8.1
3.7
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.7
3.4
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.