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Sunday 1 October 2017, 14:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
22% 25% 53%
Home win
21.5%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
53.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 21.5% 4.64
Draw 25.2% 3.96
1899 Hoffenheim 53.2% 1.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.85
Over 1.5 76.3% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.7% 4.22
Over 2.5 51.3% 1.95
Under 2.5 48.7% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.2% 3.42
Under 3.5 70.8% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.1% 7.08
Under 4.5 85.9% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 46.8% 2.14
SC Freiburg / 1899 Hoffenheim 74.8% 1.34
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 78.5% 1.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
10.5
9.6
5.5
2.4
0.8
1
5.9
12.0
9.7
5.6
2.4
0.8
2
3.3
5.7
4.9
2.8
1.2
0.4
3
1.1
1.9
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.