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Saturday 23 September 2017, 16:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
37% 31% 32%
Home win
37.1%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
31.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 37.1% 2.70
Draw 31.4% 3.19
FC Augsburg 31.5% 3.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.9% 7.77
Over 1.5 63.2% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.8% 2.72
Over 2.5 35.4% 2.82
Under 2.5 64.6% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.4% 6.09
Under 3.5 83.6% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.72
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 68.5% 1.46
VfB Stuttgart / FC Augsburg 68.6% 1.46
Draw / FC Augsburg 62.9% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.9
11.3
6.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
12.6
14.3
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
7.5
7.5
3.8
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
2.8
2.8
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.