Skip to content
Saturday 4 November 2017, 19:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
30% 24% 46%
Home win
30.0%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
45.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 30.0% 3.33
Draw 24.4% 4.10
Bayern München 45.6% 2.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.81
Over 1.5 83.2% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.8% 5.94
Over 2.5 61.5% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.5% 2.60
Over 3.5 39.2% 2.55
Under 3.5 60.8% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.5% 4.65
Under 4.5 78.5% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.2% 1.58
No 36.8% 2.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 54.4% 1.84
Borussia Dortmund / Bayern München 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Bayern München 70.0% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
6.8
6.5
3.9
1.7
0.6
1
5.3
11.0
9.2
5.4
2.4
0.9
2
4.1
7.3
6.5
3.8
1.7
0.6
3
1.9
3.4
3.0
1.8
0.8
0.3
4
0.7
1.2
1.1
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.