Skip to content
Saturday 28 October 2017, 19:30 Allianz Arena Full time
71% 18% 11%
Home win
70.7%
Draw
17.9%
Away win
11.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 70.7% 1.41
Draw 17.9% 5.58
RB Leipzig 11.4% 8.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.57
Over 1.5 84.4% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.6% 6.39
Over 2.5 63.6% 1.57
Under 2.5 36.4% 2.75
Over 3.5 41.5% 2.41
Under 3.5 58.5% 1.71
Over 4.5 23.4% 4.28
Under 4.5 76.6% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.5% 1.87
No 46.5% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 88.6% 1.13
Bayern München / RB Leipzig 82.1% 1.22
Draw / RB Leipzig 29.3% 3.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
2.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
8.6
8.4
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
10.9
9.5
4.2
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
8.7
7.6
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
5.2
4.6
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
2.5
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.