Saturday 21 October 2017, 19:30
Volksparkstadion
Full time
8%
17%
75%
Home win
8.0%
Draw
16.5%
Away win
75.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 8.0% | 12.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Bayern München | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.6% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.4% | 5.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV / Draw | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV / Bayern München | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayern München | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
10.7
|
13.4
|
10.7
|
6.4
|
3.1
|
| 1 |
2.6
|
7.9
|
8.9
|
7.2
|
4.3
|
2.1
|
| 2 |
1.0
|
2.5
|
3.0
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.2
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Hamburger SV
2-2
Bayern München
Sep 2025
Bayern München
5-0
Hamburger SV
Mar 2018
Bayern München
6-0
Hamburger SV
Feb 2017
Bayern München
8-0
Hamburger SV
Sep 2016
Hamburger SV
0-1
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.