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Sunday 24 September 2017, 19:00 BayArena Full time
Bayer Leverkusen
3–0
HT 2–0
Hamburger SV
65% 20% 15%
Home win
65.1%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
14.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 65.1% 1.54 — —
Draw 20.0% 4.99 — —
Hamburger SV 14.9% 6.72 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05 — —
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.30 — —
Over 1.5 83.8% 1.19 — —
Under 1.5 16.2% 6.17 — —
Over 2.5 62.6% 1.60 — —
Under 2.5 37.4% 2.68 — —
Over 3.5 40.4% 2.48 — —
Under 3.5 59.6% 1.68 — —
Over 4.5 22.5% 4.45 — —
Under 4.5 77.5% 1.29 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.7% 1.76 — —
No 43.3% 2.31 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 85.1% 1.17 — —
Bayer Leverkusen / Hamburger SV 80.0% 1.25 — —
Draw / Hamburger SV 34.9% 2.86 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
3.4
1.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
1
8.3
9.3
4.3
1.4
0.4
0.1
2
9.9
9.8
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
7.4
7.3
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
4.1
4.1
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
1.9
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Bayer Leverkusen
L D L W L
Hamburger SV
W W L L L

Head to head

May 2026 Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Hamburger SV Mar 2026 Hamburger SV 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen Feb 2018 Hamburger SV 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen Feb 2017 Hamburger SV 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen Sep 2016 Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Hamburger SV

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.