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Saturday 17 February 2018, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
26% 26% 48%
Home win
25.6%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
47.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 25.6% 3.90
Draw 26.4% 3.78
Bayer Leverkusen 47.9% 2.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.26
Over 1.5 75.6% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.4% 4.09
Over 2.5 50.2% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.8% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.2% 3.54
Under 3.5 71.8% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.5% 7.42
Under 4.5 86.5% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.7% 1.86
No 46.3% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 52.1% 1.92
Hamburger SV / Bayer Leverkusen 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 74.4% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
10.1
8.6
4.5
1.8
0.6
1
6.8
12.6
9.4
5.0
2.0
0.6
2
4.1
6.5
5.2
2.7
1.1
0.3
3
1.5
2.4
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.4
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.