Sunday 28 January 2018, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
64%
19%
16%
Home win
64.3%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
16.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.4% | 8.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| No | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / FSV Mainz 05 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
2.8
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
8.4
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
9.5
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
7.6
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
4.6
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2025
FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Bayer Leverkusen
May 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Jan 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Feb 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2023
FSV Mainz 05
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.