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Friday 8 December 2017, 21:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
36% 28% 36%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
35.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 36.2% 2.76
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Bayer Leverkusen 35.7% 2.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.88
Over 1.5 73.4% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.6% 3.76
Over 2.5 47.4% 2.11
Under 2.5 52.6% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.7% 3.89
Under 3.5 74.3% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.8% 8.45
Under 4.5 88.2% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.1% 1.88
No 46.9% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 64.3% 1.55
VfB Stuttgart / Bayer Leverkusen 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 63.8% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
9.0
6.3
2.7
0.9
0.2
1
9.1
13.4
8.1
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.4
8.2
5.2
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.7
3.5
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
0.9
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.