Saturday 2 December 2017, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
39%
22%
40%
Home win
38.6%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
39.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.6% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 44.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.7% | 11.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| No | 24.8% | 4.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / Borussia Dortmund | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
3.2
|
3.7
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
3.2
|
7.8
|
7.4
|
5.0
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.6
|
7.3
|
7.3
|
4.9
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
4.8
|
4.8
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
2.4
|
2.4
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Nov 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
May 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
2-4
Borussia Dortmund
Jan 2025
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Apr 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.