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Saturday 25 November 2017, 16:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
58% 23% 19%
Home win
57.9%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
19.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 57.9% 1.73
Draw 23.0% 4.34
FC Schalke 04 19.1% 5.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.46
Over 1.5 80.3% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.7% 5.08
Over 2.5 57.1% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.9% 2.33
Over 3.5 34.7% 2.88
Under 3.5 65.3% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.0% 5.55
Under 4.5 82.0% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.8% 1.79
No 44.2% 2.26

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 80.9% 1.24
Borussia Dortmund / FC Schalke 04 77.0% 1.30
Draw / FC Schalke 04 42.1% 2.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
4.7
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.1
1
9.3
10.9
5.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
2
9.6
9.9
5.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
6.2
6.4
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
3.0
3.1
1.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: FC Schalke 04 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.