Saturday 20 January 2018, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
43%
31%
26%
Home win
42.8%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
26.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.3% | 7.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.7% | 6.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.0% | 16.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / VfB Stuttgart | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / VfB Stuttgart | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.3
|
10.2
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.3
|
14.0
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
7.9
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
VfB Stuttgart
Oct 2025
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
Jan 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2-0
VfB Stuttgart
Aug 2024
VfB Stuttgart
3-3
FSV Mainz 05
Feb 2024
VfB Stuttgart
3-1
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2023
FSV Mainz 05
1-3
VfB Stuttgart
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.