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Wednesday 13 December 2017, 19:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
65% 22% 13%
Home win
64.6%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
12.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 64.6% 1.55
Draw 22.5% 4.45
VfB Stuttgart 12.9% 7.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.66
Over 1.5 74.2% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.8% 3.88
Over 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.4% 1.95
Over 3.5 26.8% 3.73
Under 3.5 73.2% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.5% 8.00
Under 4.5 87.5% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.3% 2.26
No 55.7% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 87.1% 1.15
1899 Hoffenheim / VfB Stuttgart 77.5% 1.29
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 35.4% 2.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
4.7
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
13.2
10.6
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
13.1
9.5
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
8.3
6.0
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.9
2.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.