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Sunday 26 November 2017, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
21% 25% 54%
Home win
20.8%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
54.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 20.8% 4.80
Draw 24.9% 4.01
1899 Hoffenheim 54.2% 1.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.06
Over 1.5 76.6% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.4% 4.27
Over 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Under 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Over 3.5 29.5% 3.39
Under 3.5 70.5% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.4% 6.97
Under 4.5 85.6% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 45.8% 2.18
Hamburger SV / 1899 Hoffenheim 75.1% 1.33
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 79.2% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
10.6
9.8
5.7
2.5
0.9
1
5.8
11.9
9.8
5.7
2.5
0.9
2
3.2
5.6
4.9
2.8
1.2
0.4
3
1.1
1.9
1.6
0.9
0.4
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.