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Saturday 14 October 2017, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
68% 20% 12%
Home win
68.0%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
11.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 68.0% 1.47
Draw 20.3% 4.93
FC Augsburg 11.7% 8.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.91
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.63
Over 2.5 54.4% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.6% 2.19
Over 3.5 32.1% 3.12
Under 3.5 67.9% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.1% 6.19
Under 4.5 83.9% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.1% 2.12
No 52.9% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 88.3% 1.13
1899 Hoffenheim / FC Augsburg 79.7% 1.25
Draw / FC Augsburg 32.0% 3.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
3.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
11.5
9.7
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.7
9.6
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
8.9
6.7
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.7
3.5
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.0
1.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.