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Sunday 5 November 2017, 16:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
31% 27% 42%
Home win
30.7%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
42.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 30.7% 3.26
Draw 26.9% 3.72
1899 Hoffenheim 42.4% 2.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.69
Over 1.5 76.2% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.8% 4.21
Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96
Under 2.5 48.9% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.1% 3.44
Under 3.5 70.9% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.0% 7.13
Under 4.5 86.0% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.6% 1.80
No 44.4% 2.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 57.6% 1.74
1. FC Köln / 1899 Hoffenheim 73.1% 1.37
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 69.3% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
9.1
7.3
3.6
1.3
0.4
1
7.4
12.8
9.0
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
5.0
7.4
5.5
2.7
1.0
0.3
3
2.1
3.1
2.3
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.