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Sunday 22 October 2017, 14:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
46% 25% 29%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
28.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 46.5% 2.15
Draw 24.9% 4.02
Werder Bremen 28.7% 3.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.48
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.37
Over 2.5 58.7% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.3% 2.42
Over 3.5 36.3% 2.76
Under 3.5 63.7% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.2% 5.20
Under 4.5 80.8% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.9% 1.64
No 39.1% 2.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 71.3% 1.40
1. FC Köln / Werder Bremen 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Werder Bremen 53.5% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
5.6
4.1
1.8
0.6
0.2
1
7.6
11.5
7.1
3.1
1.0
0.3
2
7.1
9.4
6.2
2.7
0.9
0.2
3
4.1
5.4
3.5
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
1.8
2.3
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.