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Saturday 30 September 2017, 19:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
Hamburger SV
0–0
HT 0–0
Werder Bremen
32% 25% 42%
Home win
32.5%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
42.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 32.5% 3.08 — —
Draw 25.4% 3.94 — —
Werder Bremen 42.1% 2.37 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06 — —
Under 0.5 5.6% 18.01 — —
Over 1.5 81.0% 1.23 — —
Under 1.5 19.0% 5.27 — —
Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72 — —
Under 2.5 41.9% 2.39 — —
Over 3.5 35.7% 2.80 — —
Under 3.5 64.3% 1.55 — —
Over 4.5 18.8% 5.32 — —
Under 4.5 81.2% 1.23 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.1% 1.64 — —
No 38.9% 2.57 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 57.9% 1.73 — —
Hamburger SV / Werder Bremen 74.6% 1.34 — —
Draw / Werder Bremen 67.5% 1.48 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
7.2
6.4
3.5
1.4
0.5
1
6.2
11.7
9.0
4.8
2.0
0.6
2
4.8
7.7
6.3
3.4
1.4
0.4
3
2.2
3.6
2.9
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
0.8
1.3
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hamburger SV
W L L L L
Werder Bremen
L D L D D

Head to head

Apr 2026 Werder Bremen 3-1 Hamburger SV Dec 2025 Hamburger SV 3-2 Werder Bremen Feb 2018 Werder Bremen 1-0 Hamburger SV Apr 2017 Werder Bremen 2-1 Hamburger SV Nov 2016 Hamburger SV 2-2 Werder Bremen

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.