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Saturday 13 January 2018, 16:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
36% 32% 33%
Home win
35.6%
Draw
31.8%
Away win
32.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 35.6% 2.81
Draw 31.8% 3.15
Hertha Berlin 32.6% 3.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.50
Over 1.5 62.3% 1.61
Under 1.5 37.7% 2.65
Over 2.5 34.4% 2.90
Under 2.5 65.6% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.7% 6.36
Under 3.5 84.3% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.68
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.5% 2.35
No 57.5% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 67.4% 1.48
VfB Stuttgart / Hertha Berlin 68.3% 1.47
Draw / Hertha Berlin 64.4% 1.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
11.8
6.4
2.2
0.5
0.1
1
12.6
14.3
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
7.1
7.2
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.5
2.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.