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Sunday 17 December 2017, 19:00 Red Bull Arena Full time
RB Leipzig
2–3
HT 0–2
Hertha Berlin
61% 22% 17%
Home win
61.5%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
17.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 61.5% 1.63 — —
Draw 21.6% 4.64 — —
Hertha Berlin 17.0% 5.90 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05 — —
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.70 — —
Over 1.5 82.1% 1.22 — —
Under 1.5 17.9% 5.59 — —
Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Under 2.5 40.1% 2.49 — —
Over 3.5 37.5% 2.67 — —
Under 3.5 62.5% 1.60 — —
Over 4.5 20.2% 4.96 — —
Under 4.5 79.8% 1.25 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.4% 1.77 — —
No 43.6% 2.29 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 83.0% 1.20 — —
RB Leipzig / Hertha Berlin 78.4% 1.27 — —
Draw / Hertha Berlin 38.5% 2.60 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
4.0
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
8.8
10.1
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
9.8
9.9
5.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
6.8
6.9
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
3.6
3.6
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
1.5
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

RB Leipzig
D W L D D
Hertha Berlin
L W L D W

Head to head

Apr 2023 Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig Oct 2022 RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin Feb 2022 Hertha Berlin 1-6 RB Leipzig Sep 2021 RB Leipzig 6-0 Hertha Berlin Feb 2021 Hertha Berlin 0-3 RB Leipzig Oct 2020 RB Leipzig 2-1 Hertha Berlin

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.