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Tuesday 12 December 2017, 19:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
30% 27% 43%
Home win
30.3%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
42.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 30.3% 3.30
Draw 26.8% 3.73
RB Leipzig 42.8% 2.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.76
Over 1.5 76.3% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.7% 4.22
Over 2.5 51.3% 1.95
Under 2.5 48.7% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.2% 3.43
Under 3.5 70.8% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.1% 7.09
Under 4.5 85.9% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.6% 1.80
No 44.4% 2.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 57.2% 1.75
VfL Wolfsburg / RB Leipzig 73.2% 1.37
Draw / RB Leipzig 69.7% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
9.1
7.4
3.7
1.4
0.4
1
7.3
12.8
9.0
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
4.9
7.4
5.5
2.8
1.0
0.3
3
2.0
3.0
2.3
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.