Saturday 16 December 2017, 16:30
Weser-Stadion
Full time
55%
24%
21%
Home win
54.6%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
21.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 21.4% | 4.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 16.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.0% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen / Draw | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen / FSV Mainz 05 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
5.1
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
11.3
|
5.8
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.9
|
5.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
6.1
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Werder Bremen
0-2
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2025
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Werder Bremen
Jan 2025
Werder Bremen
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2024
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
Werder Bremen
Feb 2024
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
Werder Bremen
Sep 2023
Werder Bremen
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.