Wednesday 13 December 2017, 21:30
BayArena
Full time
57%
22%
22%
Home win
56.6%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
21.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.6% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 26.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.7% | 7.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| No | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / Werder Bremen | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Werder Bremen | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
3.6
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
9.4
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
9.6
|
6.2
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
6.9
|
4.4
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.7
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0
Werder Bremen
Aug 2025
Werder Bremen
3-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Mar 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
0-2
Werder Bremen
Oct 2024
Werder Bremen
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Apr 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
5-0
Werder Bremen
Nov 2023
Werder Bremen
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.