Tuesday 12 December 2017, 21:30
Opel Arena
Full time
26%
23%
51%
Home win
26.5%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
50.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.7% | 7.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Borussia Dortmund | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
5.9
|
6.5
|
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
4.0
|
9.8
|
9.3
|
6.2
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
3.2
|
6.5
|
6.6
|
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
3.1
|
3.1
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Mar 2025
Borussia Dortmund
3-1
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2024
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Borussia Dortmund
May 2024
FSV Mainz 05
3-0
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.