Skip to content
Saturday 25 November 2017, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
38% 28% 34%
Home win
38.4%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
34.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 38.4% 2.61
Draw 27.6% 3.62
FSV Mainz 05 34.0% 2.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.72
Over 1.5 74.8% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.2% 3.97
Over 2.5 49.2% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.3% 3.66
Under 3.5 72.7% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.77
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.4% 1.84
No 45.6% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 66.0% 1.52
SC Freiburg / FSV Mainz 05 72.4% 1.38
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 61.6% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
8.3
5.8
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
9.0
13.2
7.9
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.7
8.5
5.4
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.0
3.9
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.