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Saturday 13 January 2018, 16:30 HDI Arena Full time
55% 24% 21%
Home win
55.3%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
21.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hannover 96 55.3% 1.81
Draw 23.5% 4.25
FSV Mainz 05 21.2% 4.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.92
Over 1.5 80.8% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.2% 5.20
Over 2.5 57.8% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.2% 2.37
Over 3.5 35.4% 2.83
Under 3.5 64.6% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.5% 5.39
Under 4.5 81.5% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.5% 1.74
No 42.5% 2.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hannover 96 / Draw 78.8% 1.27
Hannover 96 / FSV Mainz 05 76.5% 1.31
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 44.7% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
4.9
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
8.8
11.0
5.7
2.1
0.6
0.1
2
8.9
9.9
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
5.7
6.3
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
2.7
3.0
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hannover 96 goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.