Saturday 20 January 2018, 16:30
WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Full time
57%
22%
22%
Home win
56.7%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
21.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.8% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.3% | 6.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.4% | 2.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim / Draw | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim / Bayer Leverkusen | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
3.7
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
9.6
|
5.7
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
9.6
|
6.1
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
6.8
|
4.3
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.6
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
Aug 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
1899 Hoffenheim
Feb 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
3-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Sep 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
1-4
Bayer Leverkusen
Mar 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Nov 2023
1899 Hoffenheim
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.