Skip to content
Saturday 13 January 2018, 16:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
34% 26% 41%
Home win
33.9%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
40.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 33.9% 2.95
Draw 25.5% 3.92
1899 Hoffenheim 40.6% 2.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.88
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.24
Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.1% 2.38
Over 3.5 35.5% 2.82
Under 3.5 64.5% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.7% 5.36
Under 4.5 81.3% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.1% 1.64
No 38.9% 2.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 59.4% 1.68
Werder Bremen / 1899 Hoffenheim 74.5% 1.34
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 66.1% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
7.1
6.2
3.2
1.3
0.4
1
6.4
11.8
8.8
4.6
1.8
0.6
2
5.0
8.0
6.3
3.3
1.3
0.4
3
2.4
3.8
3.0
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
0.9
1.4
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.