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Saturday 16 December 2017, 19:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
Borussia Dortmund
2–1
HT 0–1
1899 Hoffenheim
54% 22% 24%
Home win
53.8%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
24.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 53.8% 1.86 — —
Draw 21.8% 4.58 — —
1899 Hoffenheim 24.4% 4.10 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.09 — —
Over 1.5 87.3% 1.15 — —
Under 1.5 12.7% 7.88 — —
Over 2.5 68.6% 1.46 — —
Under 2.5 31.4% 3.18 — —
Over 3.5 47.1% 2.12 — —
Under 3.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Over 4.5 28.1% 3.56 — —
Under 4.5 71.9% 1.39 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.0% 1.49 — —
No 33.0% 3.03 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 75.6% 1.32 — —
Borussia Dortmund / 1899 Hoffenheim 78.2% 1.28 — —
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 46.2% 2.16 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
3.6
2.9
1.3
0.5
0.1
1
5.7
9.2
6.1
2.9
1.0
0.3
2
6.6
9.3
6.5
3.0
1.1
0.3
3
4.7
6.6
4.6
2.2
0.8
0.2
4
2.5
3.5
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
5
1.1
1.5
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Borussia Dortmund
L D D L W
1899 Hoffenheim
D L W L W

Head to head

Apr 2026 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 Borussia Dortmund Dec 2025 Borussia Dortmund 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim Apr 2025 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund Dec 2024 Borussia Dortmund 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim Feb 2024 Borussia Dortmund 2-3 1899 Hoffenheim Sep 2023 1899 Hoffenheim 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.