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Friday 12 January 2018, 21:30 BayArena Full time
18% 23% 59%
Home win
18.5%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
58.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 18.5% 5.41
Draw 22.7% 4.40
Bayern München 58.8% 1.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.69
Over 1.5 80.5% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.5% 5.13
Over 2.5 57.4% 1.74
Under 2.5 42.6% 2.35
Over 3.5 35.0% 2.86
Under 3.5 65.0% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.2% 5.48
Under 4.5 81.8% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.6% 1.80
No 44.4% 2.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 41.2% 2.42
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayern München 77.3% 1.29
Draw / Bayern München 81.5% 1.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
9.3
9.8
6.4
3.1
1.2
1
4.5
10.7
10.0
6.5
3.2
1.3
2
2.6
5.2
5.1
3.3
1.6
0.6
3
0.9
1.8
1.7
1.1
0.6
0.2
4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.