Skip to content
Saturday 3 February 2018, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
31% 24% 46%
Home win
30.5%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
45.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 30.5% 3.27
Draw 24.0% 4.18
Bayer Leverkusen 45.5% 2.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.85
Over 1.5 84.5% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.5% 6.43
Over 2.5 63.6% 1.57
Under 2.5 36.4% 2.75
Over 3.5 41.4% 2.41
Under 3.5 58.6% 1.71
Over 4.5 23.3% 4.29
Under 4.5 76.7% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.9% 1.54
No 35.1% 2.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 54.5% 1.84
SC Freiburg / Bayer Leverkusen 76.0% 1.31
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 69.5% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
6.3
6.2
3.8
1.7
0.6
1
4.9
10.6
9.1
5.5
2.5
0.9
2
4.0
7.3
6.6
4.0
1.8
0.7
3
2.0
3.6
3.2
2.0
0.9
0.3
4
0.7
1.3
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.