Saturday 10 February 2018, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
56%
23%
21%
Home win
55.8%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
21.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.2% | 5.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.8% | 5.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / Hertha Berlin | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Hertha Berlin | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
4.6
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
10.7
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
9.9
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
6.4
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
3.1
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1
Hertha Berlin
Sep 2022
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Apr 2022
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
Hertha Berlin
Nov 2021
Hertha Berlin
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Mar 2021
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Bayer Leverkusen
Nov 2020
Bayer Leverkusen
0-0
Hertha Berlin
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.