Saturday 10 March 2018, 16:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
87%
10%
3%
Home win
86.6%
Draw
10.3%
Away win
3.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.3% | 9.71 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV | 3.1% | 32.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.4% | 6.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Bayern München / Hamburger SV | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Draw / Hamburger SV | 13.4% | 7.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
4.8
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.1
|
6.5
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
14.6
|
6.2
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.5
|
4.5
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Hamburger SV
2-2
Bayern München
Sep 2025
Bayern München
5-0
Hamburger SV
Oct 2017
Hamburger SV
0-1
Bayern München
Feb 2017
Bayern München
8-0
Hamburger SV
Sep 2016
Hamburger SV
0-1
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.