Skip to content
Saturday 3 February 2018, 16:30 Opel Arena Full time
11% 18% 71%
Home win
11.0%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
70.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 11.0% 9.07
Draw 18.1% 5.53
Bayern München 70.9% 1.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.97
Over 1.5 83.4% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.6% 6.02
Over 2.5 62.1% 1.61
Under 2.5 37.9% 2.64
Over 3.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 3.5 60.2% 1.66
Over 4.5 22.0% 4.55
Under 4.5 78.0% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.9% 1.93
No 48.1% 2.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 29.1% 3.44
FSV Mainz 05 / Bayern München 81.9% 1.22
Draw / Bayern München 89.0% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
9.1
11.4
9.0
5.3
2.5
1
2.9
8.5
9.5
7.5
4.4
2.1
2
1.4
3.4
4.0
3.1
1.9
0.9
3
0.4
0.9
1.1
0.9
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.