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Saturday 27 January 2018, 16:30 Allianz Arena Full time
73% 17% 10%
Home win
72.6%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
10.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 72.6% 1.38
Draw 17.5% 5.72
1899 Hoffenheim 10.0% 10.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.64
Over 1.5 83.1% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.9% 5.92
Over 2.5 61.6% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.4% 2.61
Over 3.5 39.3% 2.54
Under 3.5 60.7% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.6% 4.63
Under 4.5 78.4% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.0% 2.00
No 50.0% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 90.0% 1.11
Bayern München / 1899 Hoffenheim 82.5% 1.21
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 27.4% 3.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
2.8
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
9.5
8.3
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
11.9
9.4
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
9.5
7.5
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
5.7
4.5
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.7
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.