Sunday 21 January 2018, 16:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
82%
12%
5%
Home win
82.4%
Draw
12.3%
Away win
5.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.3% | 8.13 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen | 5.3% | 18.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.4% | 7.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.3% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Bayern München / Werder Bremen | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Werder Bremen | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
5.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.5
|
7.9
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.9
|
7.5
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.5
|
5.4
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.8
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Werder Bremen
0-3
Bayern München
Sep 2025
Bayern München
4-0
Werder Bremen
Feb 2025
Bayern München
3-0
Werder Bremen
Sep 2024
Werder Bremen
0-5
Bayern München
Jan 2024
Bayern München
0-1
Werder Bremen
Aug 2023
Werder Bremen
0-4
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.