Skip to content
Sunday 4 March 2018, 19:00 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
11% 19% 71%
Home win
10.5%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
70.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 10.5% 9.51
Draw 18.6% 5.36
Bayern München 70.8% 1.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.56
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.23
Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Over 3.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 3.5 64.3% 1.56
Over 4.5 18.8% 5.32
Under 4.5 81.2% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.2% 2.08
No 51.8% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 29.2% 3.43
SC Freiburg / Bayern München 81.4% 1.23
Draw / Bayern München 89.5% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
10.5
12.5
9.4
5.3
2.4
1
3.2
8.9
9.5
7.1
4.0
1.8
2
1.4
3.2
3.6
2.7
1.5
0.7
3
0.4
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.