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Saturday 24 February 2018, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
66% 20% 14%
Home win
66.2%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
14.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 66.2% 1.51
Draw 19.6% 5.09
SC Freiburg 14.2% 7.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.69
Over 1.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.0% 6.25
Over 2.5 63.0% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.0% 2.70
Over 3.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 3.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.8% 4.39
Under 4.5 77.2% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.3% 1.78
No 43.7% 2.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 85.8% 1.17
1899 Hoffenheim / SC Freiburg 80.4% 1.24
Draw / SC Freiburg 33.8% 2.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
3.3
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
8.3
9.1
4.2
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
10.1
9.8
4.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
7.6
7.4
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
4.3
4.2
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
2.0
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.