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Saturday 17 February 2018, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
37% 26% 36%
Home win
37.4%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
36.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 37.4% 2.67
Draw 26.4% 3.78
Werder Bremen 36.2% 2.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.40
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.64
Over 2.5 54.2% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.8% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.9% 3.13
Under 3.5 68.1% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.0% 6.25
Under 4.5 84.0% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.4% 1.71
No 41.6% 2.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 63.8% 1.57
SC Freiburg / Werder Bremen 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Werder Bremen 62.6% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
7.5
5.8
2.7
1.0
0.3
1
7.6
12.5
8.3
3.9
1.4
0.4
2
6.0
8.4
6.0
2.8
1.0
0.3
3
2.9
4.1
2.9
1.3
0.5
0.1
4
1.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.