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Sunday 10 December 2017, 14:45 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
52% 26% 21%
Home win
52.4%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
21.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 52.4% 1.91
Draw 26.5% 3.78
SC Freiburg 21.1% 4.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.48
Over 1.5 72.5% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.5% 3.64
Over 2.5 46.3% 2.16
Under 2.5 53.7% 1.86
Over 3.5 24.8% 4.03
Under 3.5 75.2% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.2% 8.90
Under 4.5 88.8% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.9% 2.04
No 51.1% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 78.9% 1.27
1. FC Köln / SC Freiburg 73.5% 1.36
Draw / SC Freiburg 47.6% 2.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
6.7
3.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
12.1
12.6
5.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.2
9.5
4.4
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
5.5
5.1
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
2.2
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.