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Friday 1 December 2017, 21:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
47% 27% 25%
Home win
47.2%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
25.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 47.2% 2.12
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Hamburger SV 25.3% 3.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.41
Over 1.5 72.5% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.5% 3.63
Over 2.5 46.2% 2.16
Under 2.5 53.8% 1.86
Over 3.5 24.7% 4.04
Under 3.5 75.3% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.2% 8.94
Under 4.5 88.8% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.6% 1.98
No 49.4% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 74.7% 1.34
SC Freiburg / Hamburger SV 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Hamburger SV 52.8% 1.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
7.5
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
11.3
13.1
6.3
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
9.0
9.2
4.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
4.5
4.6
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.7
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.