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Friday 2 February 2018, 21:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
27% 25% 48%
Home win
27.2%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
48.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 27.2% 3.68
Draw 24.7% 4.05
Borussia Dortmund 48.2% 2.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.41
Over 1.5 81.3% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.7% 5.35
Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.4% 2.41
Over 3.5 36.2% 2.77
Under 3.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 4.5 80.9% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.4% 1.66
No 39.6% 2.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 51.8% 1.93
1. FC Köln / Borussia Dortmund 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 72.8% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
7.8
7.4
4.4
1.9
0.7
1
5.5
11.4
9.5
5.6
2.5
0.9
2
3.9
6.9
6.1
3.6
1.6
0.6
3
1.7
2.9
2.6
1.5
0.7
0.2
4
0.5
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.