Saturday 31 March 2018, 16:30
Mercedes-Benz Arena
Full time
53%
30%
17%
Home win
53.0%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
16.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV | 16.9% | 5.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.9% | 6.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.5% | 7.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.9% | 20.60 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| No | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart / Draw | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart / Hamburger SV | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Hamburger SV | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.9
|
8.2
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.1
|
12.5
|
3.7
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.5
|
7.8
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
VfB Stuttgart
4-0
Hamburger SV
Nov 2025
Hamburger SV
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
Jun 2023
Hamburger SV
1-3
VfB Stuttgart
Jun 2023
VfB Stuttgart
3-0
Hamburger SV
Nov 2017
Hamburger SV
3-1
VfB Stuttgart
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.