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Sunday 11 March 2018, 16:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
31% 30% 39%
Home win
31.3%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
39.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 31.3% 3.20
Draw 29.5% 3.39
RB Leipzig 39.2% 2.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.4% 9.64
Over 1.5 68.7% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.3% 3.20
Over 2.5 41.6% 2.41
Under 2.5 58.4% 1.71
Over 3.5 21.0% 4.77
Under 3.5 79.0% 1.27
Over 4.5 8.9% 11.23
Under 4.5 91.1% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.2% 2.07
No 51.8% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 60.8% 1.64
VfB Stuttgart / RB Leipzig 70.5% 1.42
Draw / RB Leipzig 68.7% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.4
11.2
7.5
3.1
1.0
0.2
1
9.7
13.9
8.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
5.7
7.2
4.5
1.9
0.6
0.1
3
2.1
2.6
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.