Saturday 3 March 2018, 19:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
42%
24%
35%
Home win
41.6%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
34.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.0% | 7.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.3% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / Borussia Dortmund | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
4.8
|
4.4
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
10.2
|
7.8
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
8.6
|
6.9
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
5.1
|
4.1
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
RB Leipzig
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
RB Leipzig
Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
2-0
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
Apr 2024
RB Leipzig
4-1
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.