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Friday 9 February 2018, 21:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
59% 23% 18%
Home win
59.4%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
18.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 59.4% 1.68
Draw 22.5% 4.44
FC Augsburg 18.1% 5.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.97
Over 1.5 80.7% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.3% 5.19
Over 2.5 57.7% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.3% 2.37
Over 3.5 35.3% 2.83
Under 3.5 64.7% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.5% 5.40
Under 4.5 81.5% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.6% 1.80
No 44.4% 2.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 81.9% 1.22
RB Leipzig / FC Augsburg 77.5% 1.29
Draw / FC Augsburg 40.6% 2.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
4.4
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
9.3
10.6
5.1
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
9.8
10.0
5.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
6.5
6.6
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
3.2
3.3
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.